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Fooled by Chance: The Hidden Role of Chance in Business and Life

14.99 €
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Fooled by Chance: The Hidden Role of Chance in Business and Life
14.99 €
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Randomness, luck, chance, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision making in a world we don't understand—these are the inexhaustible, multifaceted themes explored by successful trader, mathematician, and philosopher Nassim Taleb, preparing us to face challenges and unexpected events of all kinds head-on.

"Probability isn't so much calculating the odds on a roll of the dice as recognizing the uncertainty of our knowledge and developing methods for dealing with our ignorance. Outside of textbooks and casinos, probability is almost never presented as a mathematical problem or a mental puzzle. Mother Nature won't tell you how many holes there are on a roulette table, nor does she formulate problems in the style of textbooks (in the real world, you have to look for a problem, not a solution). The probabilistic thinking at the heart of this book suggests that if alternative outcomes had occurred, the world would be different." (N. Taleb)
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