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Fooled by Chance: The Hidden Role of Chance in Business and Life

39.99 €
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Fooled by Chance: The Hidden Role of Chance in Business and Life
39.99 €
In basket
Chance, luck, chance, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision making in a world we don’t understand are the inexhaustible themes explored by successful trader, mathematician, and philosopher Nassim Taleb, preparing us to face challenges and unexpected events of all kinds. “Probability is not so much calculating the odds on a roll of the dice as recognizing the uncertainty of our knowledge and developing ways to deal with our ignorance. Outside of textbooks and casinos, probability is almost never presented as a mathematical problem or a mental puzzle. Mother Nature won’t tell you how many holes there are on a roulette table, nor does she formulate problems in the style of textbooks (in the real world, you have to look for a problem, not a solution). The probabilistic thinking at the heart of this book assumes that if alternative outcomes had occurred, the world would be different.” (N. Taleb)
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